txheem
Kauj Ruam 52: "Tsis txhob rhuav tshem tag nrho lub vaj thaum tsuas yog qhov uas withered tsuas yog paj xwb"
88 rungs ntawm cov neeg zoo siab
Hauv tshooj no ntawm "88 Kauj Ruam Ntawm Cov Neeg Zoo Siab" Kuv qhia koj yuav ua li cas saib nrog kev cia siab ntau dua
Dab tsi yog qhov thib ib ntawm kev zoo siab? Kev cia siab. Thiab dab tsi yog lub ntiaj teb txhaj tshuaj rau peb tshaj plaws? Tsuas yog qhov opposite.
Cov kauj ruam no tsom mus rau kev tawm tsam kev xav phem, yam tsawg kawg uas cov xov xwm hais tawm hauv huab cua txhua qhov chaw peb mus. Kuv yuav nug koj ib lo lus nug, thiab yog tias koj nyeem cov xovxwm, qhov ib txwm yog qhov koj ua tsis tau.
Dab tsi yog lub sijhawm ntawm keeb kwm nyob rau hauv ... qhov kev tshaib kev nqhis tsawg dua, kev noj qab haus huv tau zoo dua, tau sau npe tsis paub ntawv tsawg, muaj kev tsov rog tsawg dua, thiab thaum kawg, kev zoo siab dua tau ua tiav? Teb: xav tsis thoob… TAM SIM NO!
- Anxo, koj tuaj yeem hais li cas? Koj tsis tau pom cov xov xwm lately?
Curiously, kuv tsis tau pom lawv vim kuv tsis muaj TV (Kuv tsis tau muaj), tab sis nyob twj ywm, Kuv paub tias feem coob ntawm cov xov xwm tsis phem, tab sis txaus ntshai. Qhov laj thawj uas piav qhia nws yog qhov yooj yim: qhov muag tsis zoo. Xav txog ib pliag ib nqe lus uas hais tias: "Tshiab Xov Xwm: Ntau tshaj 10.000 Billion Tib Neeg Tsis Tau Ua Tus Kheej Hnub Nyoog." Los yog lwm qhov no: "Tsis muaj lub dav hlau hauv XNUMX lub davhlau kawg tau poob lawm." Leej twg yuav khoom zoo li ntawd? Yog li thaum muaj ntau lab lub davhlau nyab xeeb, tsis muaj leej twg hais txog lawv, thiab sai li sai tau ib qho kev sib tsoo, tsis muaj leej twg tso tseg. Qhov teeb meem tsis yog hais tias qhov phem yog exaggerated, tab sis hais tias peb generalize nws tej yam, tsis meej pem kev xav nrog kev muaj tiag.
Ib tug ntawm Nobel laureates kuv muaj kev hwm tshaj plaws rau, Daniel Kahneman, tau sau txog qhov tshwm sim no thiab hu nws "muaj heuristic." Qhov nws los hais yog peb nthuav qhov peb mloog ntau tshaj (los ntawm kev muaj ntau, ze dua), thiab peb txo qhov peb mloog tsawg. Piv txwv li, yog tias kev ua phem ua phem tau poob rau txhua lub sijhawm qis thiab tau muaj ib qho kev ua phem loj loj hauv kaum xyoo dhau los, ob peb hnub tom qab koj nug ntau tus neeg nyob ntawm txoj kev, "Lub sijhawm twg hauv keeb kwm nws tau ua. ntev tshaj? Qhov teeb meem ntawm kev ua phem loj npaum li cas? ', feem ntau yuav yog lo lus teb tsis raug yog 'tam sim no'. Qhov ntawd yog qhov txaus ntshai ntawm generalizing ib ncig ntawm ib qho kev zam.
Yog li ntawd, kev qhia ntawm Kauj Ruam no yog raws li nram no. Txij no mus, ua ntej koj maj mus ua alarmist thiab pessimistic thiab txiav txim siab tias ib qho tseeb qhia tias peb tab tom ntsib ib teeb meem loj heevNug koj tus kheej lo lus nug no: puas yog tus sawv cev qhov tseeb lossis cais tawm? Thiab nws nkag siab tias, txhawm rau txhawm rau muab faib ua tus neeg sawv cev, nws yuav tsum yog ib feem ntawm cov saw ntawm cov lus tseeb yav dhau los lossis cov lus qhia. Thaum nyob ib leeg, tej zaum yuav txaus ntshai, tab sis nws yog ib qho kev zam, yog li cawm koj tus kheej qhov kev xav phem.
Yog tias koj npog koj tus hluas nrog haus luam yeeb, ua ib yam dab tsi txog nws, tab sis tsis txhob txiav txim siab tias nws yog tus neeg quav yeeb quav tshuaj. Yog tias tus neeg ntxub ntxaug koj txoj haujlwm hauv kev tshaj xov xwm, sib piv nws nrog pes tsawg tus npuaj nws. Yog hais tias ib tug politician nyiag, tsis txhob txiav txim siab tsis ncaj ncees lawm. Yog tias koj lub tebchaws raug kev tawm tsam, txiav txim siab tias nws yog ib yam uas hnyav, tab sis tsis yog tias lub ntiaj teb yuav tsis muaj kev nyab xeeb dua. Yog tias tsunami ua rau tag nrho lub nroog nyob rau lwm qhov ntawm lub ntiaj teb, xa nyiaj pub dawb, tab sis tsis txhob txiav txim siab tias kev puas tsuaj ntuj yuav xaus rau lub ntiaj teb. Vim li cas? Vim tias lawv yog txhua qhov tseeb cais thiab tsis sawv cev ntawm koj qhov kev txiav txim. Koj puas tuaj yeem xav txog qhov xaus tias yog hnub no yog hnub dub, tag nrho lub xyoo ib yam nkaus, lossis phem dua, yog tias hnub no muaj cua daj cua dub loj tshaj plaws txhais tau tias nws yuav tsis muaj hnub ci dua?
@Angel
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